Monday, November 08, 2004

That Hawai'ian Poll

Do you remember that poll that showed Bush up one point in Hawai'i? A little-noticed quirk involved with that poll was that was of Oahu voters only, not the entire state. Turns out, so far as it goes, it was right.

The poll placed the race on Oahu at Bush 46, Kerry 45. The actual results for Oahu were Kerry 51, Bush 48 -- well within the four percentage point margin of error.

The overall results in Hawai'i (54% Kerry, 45% Bush) stem from the results on the rest of the islands, which run at roughly 60% Kerry, 40% Bush.

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